Natural Gas AI Data Centers: ET’s 2025 Power Play
Energy Transfer’s 2025 Pivot: How Natural Gas is Powering the AI Data Center Boom
Industry Adoption: Energy Transfer’s Shift From Prospecting to Dominance in Data Center Power
Between 2021 and 2024, Energy Transfer laid the groundwork for a strategic pivot, recognizing that the exponential power demands of the AI and data center boom were outstripping the capacity of the U.S. electrical grid. The company’s strategy was largely prospective, centered on leveraging its vast pipeline network as a potential “private power grid” for on-site, gas-fired generation. This period was characterized by market soundings and building a pipeline of interest. By November 2024, Energy Transfer reported receiving connection requests from over 90 power plants and data centers, which sharpened to requests for over 40 specific data centers across 10 states by December 2024. This early phase confirmed the market’s urgent need for a reliable, grid-independent power solution, but the strategy remained unproven without firm, large-scale commercial agreements.
The year 2025 marked a dramatic inflection point, transforming Energy Transfer’s strategy from a promising concept into a validated, high-growth business line. The shift from prospecting to execution began in February with the landmark 10-year deal to supply gas for CloudBurst Data Centers’ 1.2 GW AI campus. This was not a pilot project but a full-scale commercial commitment that opened the floodgates. The strategy rapidly gained momentum with a series of major agreements in October 2025: a partnership with VoltaGrid to fuel 2.3 GW of power for Oracle’s AI data centers and a deal to supply the initial 2 GW for Fermi America’s Hypergrid campus. These contracts, totaling over 5.5 GW of new gas-powered capacity, validated natural gas as the indispensable bridging fuel for the AI revolution. The variety of deals—direct to a developer (CloudBurst), through a power infrastructure partner (VoltaGrid), and with utilities supporting data center load (Entergy, Arizona Public Service)—demonstrates a multi-pronged, sophisticated market approach that signals the broad and rapid adoption of this power solution.
Table: Global Data Center Investment and Market Size Forecasts
| Forecast Provider / Funder | Time Frame | Details and Strategic Purpose | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barchart (via Report) | 2025 – 2030 | The AI Data Center market segment is projected to grow from $236.44 billion in 2025 to $933.76 billion by 2030, a CAGR of 31.6%, highlighting the specific high-growth segment Energy Transfer is targeting. | AI Data Center Market worth $933.76 Billion by 2030, at a … |
| Markets and Markets | 2025 – 2030 | The direct market for data center power infrastructure is forecast to grow from $35.14 billion in 2025 to $50.51 billion by 2030, defining the core market for Energy Transfer’s behind-the-meter gas supply strategy. | Data Center Power Market worth $50.51 billion by 2030 |
| McKinsey | By 2030 | A cumulative investment of $6.7 trillion will be required worldwide to meet the demand for computing power, underscoring the massive capital deployment that will require energy solutions. | The cost of compute: A $7 trillion race to scale data centers |
| Boston Consulting Group (BCG) | By 2030 | A $1.8 trillion expansion in data centers is planned by 2030, with a significant portion dedicated to the power infrastructure that companies like Energy Transfer aim to supply. | Breaking Barriers to Data Center Growth |
Table: Energy Transfer’s Data Center Power Agreements and Key Competitor Moves
| Partner / Project | Time Frame | Details and Strategic Purpose | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Transfer / Entergy Louisiana | November 2025 | A 20-year agreement for 250,000 MMBtu/day of gas transportation to support power generation and economic growth, including data center demand, in North Louisiana. | Entergy Louisiana and Energy Transfer sign agreement … |
| Energy Transfer / VoltaGrid (for Oracle) | October 2025 | ET to supply natural gas to VoltaGrid for the deployment of 2.3 GW of power infrastructure for Oracle’s next-generation AI data centers. ET will directly supply three separate Oracle sites. | Energy Transfer to Supply VoltaGrid Powering Oracle’s 2.3- … |
| Energy Transfer / Fermi America | October 2025 | Agreement to provide firm natural gas supply for the initial 2 GW of power generation at Fermi America’s Hypergrid AI data center campus in Texas. | Fermi America™ Secures Firm Natural Gas Supply from … |
| Energy Transfer / Arizona Utilities (APS & SRP) | August 2025 | A 10-year gas transportation agreement explicitly designed to secure fuel supply for gas-fired plants needed to meet surging electricity demand from the region’s data center boom. | Arizona utilities lock in fuel supply for gas plants to … |
| Talen Energy / Amazon Web Services (Competitor Move) | June 2025 | Talen agreed to sell up to 1.92 GW of nuclear power to an Amazon data center, highlighting nuclear as a key competitor to natural gas for firm, low-carbon power. | Talen Energy Expands Nuclear Energy Relationship with … |
| Energy Transfer / CloudBurst Data Centers | February 2025 | ET’s first major BTM deal: a 10-year agreement to supply up to 450,000 MMBtu/day of gas to power a 1.2 GW AI-focused data center campus in Central Texas. | Energy Transfer and CloudBurst Sign Agreement for … |
| Williams Cos. (Competitor Move) | August 2024 | Reported being ‘overwhelmed’ with interest from data centers for gas supply expansions across the US, indicating broad industry competition for this market. | Williams ‘overwhelmed’ with data center interest for natural … |
Geography: Texas Emerges as the Epicenter for Energy Transfer’s Strategy
In the 2021-2024 period, Energy Transfer’s geographic focus was broad and exploratory. The company fielded inquiries from potential data center clients across ten different states, reflecting a nationwide opportunity. The strategy was to leverage its coast-to-coast pipeline network to serve demand wherever it might arise. While there were no concrete projects, the sheer geographic scope of the inquiries confirmed that grid constraints were a national problem, setting the stage for a wide-scale deployment.
Beginning in 2025, the map of activity became highly concentrated, with Texas emerging as the clear epicenter of execution for Energy Transfer’s data center strategy. The first three major behind-the-meter (BTM) deals—CloudBurst (1.2 GW), Fermi America (2 GW), and the Oracle/VoltaGrid collaboration (2.3 GW)—are all centered in Texas, from Central Texas to the Panhandle. This regional focus is no coincidence; it is driven by the state’s massive existing natural gas infrastructure, including ET’s own Oasis Pipeline, a favorable regulatory environment, and its status as a primary hub for data center development. While deals in Arizona and Louisiana demonstrate the strategy’s reach, the scale of the Texas projects confirms it as the primary battleground and proving ground. The geographic concentration reveals a strategic pattern: targeting regions where pipeline assets, power demand, and developer interest align perfectly to enable rapid, large-scale execution.
Technology Maturity: Energy Transfer’s Business Model Shifts from Concept to Commercial Scale
From 2021 to 2024, the application of direct natural gas pipelines for behind-the-meter (BTM) data center power was in a conceptual and market validation phase. The core technology—pipelines and gas-fired turbines—was mature, but the business model was novel. Energy Transfer’s own Tier III data center in Houston provided operational insights, acting as an internal pilot. The primary activity during this period was gauging market demand, evidenced by the surge in connection requests from over 40 data centers. This phase successfully validated intense market interest but had not yet produced a commercially scaled project, leaving the business model’s viability in a pilot or pre-commercial stage.
The year 2025 marks the transition of this business model to full commercialization and rapid scaling. The signings of multi-gigawatt, long-term (10+ year) contracts with CloudBurst, Fermi America, and Oracle are definitive commercial validation points, moving the strategy far beyond the pilot stage. These are not small-scale demonstrations but massive, bankable projects that establish a new, stable revenue stream for Energy Transfer. The Co-CEO’s “gold rush” comment perfectly captures this shift from cautious exploration to aggressive commercial expansion. The model has proven to be a practical, scalable, and immediate solution to the data center industry’s most critical bottleneck, confirming the maturity of BTM gas-fired generation as a mainstream technology for powering the AI era.
Table: SWOT Analysis of Energy Transfer’s Data Center Strategy
| SWOT Category | 2021 – 2024 | 2025 – Today | What Changed / Resolved / Validated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strengths | Potential of vast, existing pipeline infrastructure (105,000+ miles) strategically located near potential demand centers. Operational experience from owning a Tier III data center in Houston. | Demonstrated first-mover advantage with over 5.5 GW of capacity contracted with major players like Oracle, CloudBurst, and Fermi America. Established reputation as a go-to provider for BTM power solutions. | The company’s asset base shifted from a theoretical advantage to a proven, revenue-generating strength. The strategy was validated through the execution of multiple large-scale, long-term contracts. |
| Weaknesses | The data center strategy was speculative and unproven, with no firm contracts to show investors. Business remained dependent on traditional, more volatile energy markets. | Increasing reliance on the tech sector for growth introduces new concentration risk. The strategy’s foundation on fossil fuels creates public perception challenges and tension with tech’s green goals. | The weakness of an unproven strategy was resolved by securing major deals. However, this success has created a new, more nuanced weakness related to market concentration and the ESG narrative. |
| Opportunities | Exponential growth projections for AI-driven power demand and severe grid constraints created a clear market need. Analysts began highlighting the potential upside for midstream companies. | A “gold rush” of tangible, gigawatt-scale projects. Diversification into the high-growth tech sector with long-term (10-20 year) contracts that ensure stable, predictable cash flows. | The opportunity matured from theoretical market reports to a tangible, high-volume deal pipeline. ET successfully converted the market need into a significant, non-traditional revenue stream. |
| Threats | Competition from other midstream players (e.g., Williams Cos.) exploring the same market. General, long-term risk from ESG pressure and the push for fully renewable solutions. | Direct competition from alternative firm power sources, like nuclear (Talen/Amazon deal). Growing regulatory scrutiny over data center energy use, with potential for new costs or rules (e.g., California). | The threat evolved from a general ESG risk to specific, viable technological and regulatory challenges. Nuclear power has emerged as a direct commercial competitor for the same baseload power contracts. |
Forward-Looking Insights: Execution and Competition Will Define 2026
The flurry of activity in 2025 signals that Energy Transfer’s data center strategy is just beginning to accelerate. The key signal for the year ahead is the company’s disclosure of exclusivity agreements representing over 1 billion cubic feet per day of potential demand, indicating a deep pipeline of deals poised for announcement. The market should expect a continued cadence of new, long-term supply agreements as more data center developers lock in power solutions to de-risk their multi-billion-dollar projects.
Looking forward, the most critical signal to watch will be execution. The successful and timely construction of power generation facilities for the CloudBurst, Oracle, and Fermi America projects will be paramount to cementing Energy Transfer’s reputation as a reliable partner. Concurrently, investors should monitor for specific capital expenditure announcements related to new pipeline laterals, as these will be the leading indicators of future growth. While the behind-the-meter natural gas model is clearly gaining traction, the competitive landscape is intensifying. The Talen Energy-Amazon nuclear deal is a clear sign that natural gas is not the only solution for firm power. The key question for 2026 will be how quickly competitors can convert their expressed interest into firm contracts and whether emerging technologies like small modular reactors can move fast enough to challenge natural gas’s current dominance as the indispensable fuel for the AI boom. For energy strategists and investors, tracking these commercial milestones provides a clear roadmap to understanding the future of energy infrastructure.
Frequently Asked Questions
Why are data centers turning to natural gas for power instead of just using the electrical grid?
According to the article, the exponential power demands of the AI and data center boom are “outstripping the capacity of the U.S. electrical grid.” Data centers require a reliable, grid-independent power solution, and on-site, gas-fired generation fed directly by pipelines provides an immediate and scalable way to meet this urgent need for firm power.
What is the key evidence that Energy Transfer’s strategy is succeeding?
The strategy’s success was validated in 2025 when the company moved from prospecting to execution. It secured over 5.5 GW of long-term contracts, including a 1.2 GW deal with CloudBurst Data Centers, a partnership with VoltaGrid to power 2.3 GW for Oracle, and an agreement to supply an initial 2 GW for Fermi America’s campus. These large-scale commercial commitments transformed the concept into a proven business line.
Who are Energy Transfer’s main competitors in powering data centers?
The article identifies two main types of competitors. First are other midstream companies like Williams Cos., which also reported being “overwhelmed” with interest from data centers. The second is competition from alternative firm power technologies, specifically nuclear power, as demonstrated by the competitor move where Talen Energy agreed to sell up to 1.92 GW of nuclear power to an Amazon data center.
Why has Texas become the epicenter for Energy Transfer’s data center strategy?
Texas emerged as the epicenter in 2025 because it is where key factors align perfectly. The state has massive existing natural gas infrastructure, including Energy Transfer’s own pipelines, a favorable regulatory environment, and is a primary hub for data center development. The first three major behind-the-meter deals (CloudBurst, Fermi America, and Oracle/VoltaGrid) are all centered in Texas, making it the strategy’s primary proving ground.
What are the primary risks or weaknesses associated with this new strategy?
The SWOT analysis highlights two key weaknesses. First, the strategy’s reliance on fossil fuels creates “public perception challenges and tension with tech’s green goals,” which could lead to regulatory pressure. Second, the success has led to an “increasing reliance on the tech sector for growth,” introducing new market concentration risk for Energy Transfer.
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